Advanced Numerical Modeling and Data Assimilation Techniques for Tropical Cyclone Predictions

ISBN-13: 9789402408942 / Angielski / Twarda / 2016 / 746 str.

U. C. Mohanty; S. G. Gopalakrishnan

Opis

Specifically, it focuses on (i) state-of-the-art observations for advancing TC research, (ii) advances in numerical weather prediction for TCs, (iii) advanced assimilation and vortex initialization techniques, (iv) ocean coupling, (v) current capabilities to predict TCs, and (vi) advanced research in physical and dynamical processes in TCs.

Spis treści

Part 1: State-of-the-art Observations for Advancing TC Research

1. Advancing the Understanding and Prediction of Tropical Cyclones Using Aircraft Observations

2. Use of Satellite Observations in Tropical Cyclone Studies

Part 2: Advances in Numerical Weather Predictions for Tropical Cyclones

3. Overview of the NOAA/NCEP Operational Hurricane Weather Research and Forecast (HWRF) Modelling System

4. Physical Processes in Tropical Cyclone Models

5. Sub-Grid Vertical Turbulent Mixing in the Atmospheric Boundary Layer

6. Air-Sea Turbulent Flux Parameterizations in Tropical Cyclone Models

7. Present State of Knowledge of Electrification and Lightning within Tropical Cyclones and Their Relationships to Microphysics and Storm Intensity

8. The Role of Land Surface Processes on Tropical Cyclones: Introduction to Land Surface Models

9. The Role of Land Surface Processes on Extreme Weather Events: Land Data Assimilation System

10. Ocean Component of the HWRF Coupled Model and Model Evaluation

Part 3: Advanced Assimilation and Vortex Initialization Techniques

11. Introduction to Data Assimilation Techniques and Ensemble Kalman Filter

12. Data Assimilation and Predictability of Tropical Cyclones 

13. Data Assimilation: Comparison and Hybridization between Ensemble and Variational Methods

Part 4: Monitoring and Prediction of Tropical Cyclones

14. Operational ACCESS-TC: Vortex Specification, 4DVAR Initialization, Verification and Structure Diagnostics

15. Physical Initialization in Tropical Cyclone Forecasting 

16. Monitoring and Forecasting of Tropical Cyclones over North Indian Ocean

17. Operational Tropical Cyclone Forecasts Models at IMD and Their Performance

18. Tropical Cyclone Research over the North Indian Ocean: Impact of Data and Vortex Initialization in High Resolution Mesoscale Models

19. Superensemble Technique for Tropical Cyclone Prediction

20. Advanced Diagnostics for the HWRF Hurricane Modelling System

Part 5: Advances in Tropical Cyclone Research

21. Introduction to Hurricane Dynamics: Tropical Cyclone Intensification

22. Recent Advances in Tropical Cyclogenesis

23. The Hurricane Boundary Layer

24. Balanced Dynamics in Tropical Cyclones

25. Quasi-balanced Dynamics in Tropical Cyclones

26. Using Budgets to Study Tropical Cyclones

27. The Storm Surge Prediction over Bay of Bengal and Arabian Sea: A Review

Index

Blurb

This book deals primarily with monitoring, prediction and understanding of Tropical Cyclones (TCs). It was envisioned to serve as a teaching and reference resource at universities and academic institutions for researchers and post-graduate students. It has been designed to provide a broad outlook on recent advances in observations, assimilation and modeling of TCs with detailed and advanced information on genesis, intensification, movement and storm surge prediction. Specifically, it focuses on (i) state-of-the-art observations for advancing TC research, (ii) advances in numerical weather prediction for TCs, (iii) advanced assimilation and vortex initialization techniques, (iv) ocean coupling, (v) current capabilities to predict TCs, and (vi) advanced research in physical and dynamical processes in TCs. The chapters in the book are authored by leading international experts from academic, research and operational environments. The book is also expected to stimulate critical thinking for cyclone forecasters and researchers, managers, policy makers, and graduate and post-graduate students to carry out future research in the field of TCs.