Towards an Integrated Impact Assessment of Climate Change: The Mink Study

ISBN-13: 9789401049290 / Angielski / Miękka / 2012 / 173 str.

Norman J. Rosenberg

Opis

General circulation models state that the central United States (and other mid-latitude continental regions) will become warmer and drier as the result of greenhouse warming. On this premise the dustbowl period of the 1930s was selected as an analogue of climate change and its weather records imposed on the Missouri--Iowa--Kansas region to assess how current agriculture, forestry, water resources and energy and the entire regional economy would be affected. The same climate was also imposed on a MINK region forty years into the future, by which time climate change may actually be felt, to assess whether technological and societal change would alter the region's vulnerability to climate change. Another premise of the study was that people would not suffer the impacts of climate change passively, but would use availabe tools to ease the stress. The rising atmospheric concentration of carbon dioxide, expected to be the major cause of greenhouse warming, also works to improve plant growth and reduce plant water use. So the effects of this Co₂ fertilization' were also considered in the analysis. The results, some of them surprising, of this first, fully-integrated analysis of climate change impacts and responses are reported in this book.

Spis treści

A Methodology called `MINK' for Study of Climate Change Impacts and Responses on the Regional Scale. An Introductory Editorial; N.J. Rosenberg. The MINK Methodology: Background and Baseline; N.J. Rosenberg, P.R. Crosson, K.D. Frederick, W.E. Easterling III, M.S. McKenney, M.D. Bowes, R.A. Sedjo, J. Darmstadter, L.A. Katz, K.M. Lemon. Agricultural Impacts of and Responses to Climate Change - in the Missouri--Iowa--Nebraska--Kansas (MINK) Region; W.E. Easterling III, P.R. Crosson, N.J. Rosenberg, M.S. McKenney, L.A. Katz, K.M. Lemon. Impacts and Responses to Climate Change in Forests of the MINK Region; M.D. Bowes, R.A. Sedjo. Climate Change Impacts on Water Resources and Possible Responses in the MINK Region; K.D. Frederick. Climate Change Impacts on the Energy Sector and Possible Adjustments in the MINK Region; J. Darmstadter. Consequences of Climate Change for the MINK Economy: Impacts and Responses; M.D. Bowes, P.R. Crosson. An Overview of the MINK Study; P.R. Crosson, N.J. Rosenberg.