Applied Decision Analysis

ISBN-13: 9789048157778 / Angielski / Miękka / 2010 / 258 str.

Francisco Javier Girón;M. Lina Martínez

Opis

Taking advantage of the many specialists visiting Spain prior to the INFORMS Meeting in Barcelona, hold from July 14th to July 17th 1997, we organized a work shop on Decision Analysis Applications at the Real Academia de Ciencias, Madrid, Spain, from J uly 11th to 12th 1997, under the sponsorship of de the Instituto Espaiia. This workshop had a precedent in the International Conference Decision Making: Towards the 21st Century also held at the Real Academia de Ciencias in 1993. The idea of organizing an event, this time devoted to applications of Decision Analysis, was due to Prof. Sixto Rfos, who some four years ago, .sponsored and encouraged by the Royal Academy of Sciences, was the creator of an Interdisciplinary Working Group on Decision Analysis -formed with researchers from within and outside this Academy- which has been active since then, organizing periodical meetings, and whose last project has tumed out into this Workshop. The workshop turned out to be an stimulating opportunity for communicating and discussing the enormous variety of applications of Decision Sciences. In this volume we have included most of the invited papers and a selection of refereed contributed papers. Due to the varied nature of the applications, we have grouped them into five groups ending, as way of an epilog, with a paper by Sarin which contains important insights and reftections on the nature of Decision Analysis in public and private sectors."

Spis treści

Preface. I: Natural Resources and Environmental Decision Making. Design of a Decision Support Systems for Use in the Event of a Nuclear Emergency; S. French, et al. Contaminated Aquatic Ecosystems Restoration: A Case Study; E. Gallego, et al. Is Economic Growth Compatible with the Respect for the Environment? M.P. Martínez García, M. Del Mar Sánchez de la Vega. Sow Model for Decision Aid at Farm Level; L.M. Plà, et al. Intelligent Decision Support for Reservoir Operations; D. Ríos Insua, et al. Analysis of Livestock Production Systems via Compromise programming; A. Teruel Doñate, A. Allueva Pinilla. Using Mathematical Models in the Management of Forest Industries; A. Weintraub. II: Medical Decision Making. Automatic Diagnosis of Breast Cancer: A Case Study; F.J. Girón, et al. Decision Analysis for a Data Monitoring Committee of a Clinical Trial; J.B. Kadane, et al. Optimal Design in Longitudinal Data Models; P. Müller, J.L. Palmer. An Intelligent Decision System for Jaundice Management in New born Babies; S. Ríos-Insua, et al. III: Economics and Finance. A Theory of Possibility Approach to the Solution of a Fuzzy Linear Programming; M. Mar Arenas, et al. Measuring the Arbitrage Opportunities in an Intertemporal Dynamic Asset Pricing Model; A. Balbás, et al. Work-Leisure Trade-Off in a Workers' Enterprise: A Decision Analysis Approach; E. Ballestero, C. Romero. Implementing Financial Equilibrium of Incomplete Markets: Bounded Portfolios and the Limiting Case; M. Florenzano, et al. IV: Educational Applications. A Decision Analysis Approach to Multiple-Choice Examinations; J.M. Bernardo. Equilibrium Policies among University Departments; R. Caballero, etal. V: Miscellaneous Applications. Evaluation of Alternatives for the Disposition of Surplus Weapons-Usable Plutonium; J.S. Dyer, et al. A Graphical Model for Equipment Maintenance and Replacement Problems; A. Lekuona, et al. VI: Epilog. Decision Analysis for Private and Public Sector Decisions; R.K. Sarin.