Political Instability in the United Kingdom

ISBN-13: 9786139871445 / Angielski / Miękka / 2018 / 56 str.

Oscar Ortmans; Elisabetta Mazzeo; Andrey Korotayev

Opis

The growing importance of politically-motivated protest movements such as Occupy Wall Street and the more recent notable increases in rioting (in e.g. Ferguson and Baltimore) all serve as evidence of the ever increasing predictive ability in the Goldstone-Turchin theory of mass mobilization. Most impressively though, Turchin's forecast for increasing elite instability in 20th Century America has culminated with the election of Donald Trump as 46th president of the United States of America. Who would have foreseen such a scenario in 2015, let alone 2011? Our book seeks to apply the Goldstone-Turchin destabilisation theory to the United Kingdom in recent decades. By using Turchin's framework, this book undertakes the quantification of a 'Political Stress Indicator' (PSI) for the United Kingdom and discusses its practical application to modern day Britain.

O autorze

Ortmans, Oscar
A contrarian academic with a penchant for unorthodox views; Oscar Ortmans studied at the Higher School of Economics in Moscow. His main academic interests lie in Cliodynamics, a science which attempts to mathematically model and analyse long term social processes in order to explain evolutionary socio-economic forces.