The Risk Analysis Controversy: An Institutional Perspective

ISBN-13: 9783642819421 / Angielski / Miękka / 2011 / 236 str.

Howard C. Kunreuther; Eryl V. Ley

Opis

The first summer study at IIASA brought together a cross-section of individ uals from different disciplines and nationalities. All the participants have had an interest in the role of risk analysis given the institutional arrangements which guide decision making for new technologies. This book contains edited versions of the papers presented at the meeting as well as a transcript of the discussions which took place. It provides the ingredients for a broader framework fcr studying the problems associated with technology and society where risk is representative of a much wider set of concerns than simply the probability and consequences of a hazardous accident. The Bundesministerium fuer Forschung und Technologie has an interest in promoting risk and safety research because of these new developments in society over the past ten years. In particular, there has been a diminished confidence in experts' statements on risk and a realization that many of the events which are being examined are not subject to detailed scientific analysis. There has also been an increasing recognition that distinctions must be made between analysis of the risk associated with an event and people's values and preferences. Another important development is the concern by the public that they participate more fully in the decision process on these issues. These concerns were articulated in both the papers and the open discussions at the summer study."

Spis treści

1: Introduction.- Overview.- Siting an LNG Terminal In California: A Descriptive Framework.- Science and Policy: Their Separation and Integration in Risk Decisions.- 2: Risk Assessment in a Problem Context.- Comparing Risk Assessments for Liquefied Energy Gas Terminals — Some Results.- Societal Response to three Mile Island and the Kemeny Commission Report.- Decision Making in Environmental Crisis Situations.- Main Gas Pipeline Route Selection Problems, Taking Into Consideration Risk and Uncertainty Factors.- Worldwide Standards and Practices for Siting LNG and LPG Facilities: A Comparison.- 3: Institutional Aspects of Risk.- Risks and the Waning of Compromise in Politics.- Institutional Mythologies and Dual Societies in the Management of Risk.- A Proposal to Create a Cultural Theory of Risk.- 4: Decision Processes and Prescriptive Aspects of Risk.- Evaluating Technological Risk: Prescriptive and Descriptive Perspectives.- Group Decision Making Methods for Evaluating Social and Technological Risks.- Market Risk Assessment of Catastrophic Risks.- 5: General Discussions and Future Research Needs.- General Discussions.- Future Research Needs.- Appendix: List of Participants.