Business Planning for Turbulent Times: New Methods for Applying Scenarios

ISBN-13: 9781849710602 / Angielski / Twarda / 2010 / 336 str.

Rafael Ramirez; John W. Selsky; Kees Van Der Heijden

Opis

This book explains how future orientation and, specifically, modern scenario techniques help to address increasing turbulence in business. It uses examples from a wide variety of international settings and business sizes ranging from large multinationals to small firms and municipalities.

Spis treści

Preface * Part I * Introduction: Why Write This Book and for Whom? * Conceptual and Historical Overview * How Do Scenario Practices and Search Conferences Complement Each Other? * Reflecting on Scenario Practice: The Contribution of a Soft Systems Perspective * New Forms of Coherence for the Social Engagement of the Social Scientist: The Theory and Facilitation of Organizational Change from the Perspective of the Emery-Trist Systems Paradigm and the Ilya Prigogine School of Thought * Part II * Turbulence in the Indian Agricultural Sector: A Scenario Analysis * Swarm Planning: A New Design Paradigm Dealing with Long-Term Problems Associated with Turbulence * Designing More Effective Political Governance of Turbulent Fields: The Case of Healthcare * To What Extent Do Venezuela‘s Causal Textures Allow Scenarios to Work towards Social Dialogue? * Part III * Managing Disruptive Change and Turbulence through Continuous Change Thinking and Scenarios * Scenarios that Provide Clarity in Addressing Turbulence * From Causal Textures to Predetermined Elements to New Realities in Scenario Thinking and Practice * Conceptions of Fairness and Forming the Common Ground * Turbulence and Corporate Social Responsibility: Is There a Role for Scenarios? * Turbulence, Business Planning and the Unfolding 'Crisis': The Canary in the Mind * Part IV * Conclusion: The Conjuncture of Scenarios and Causal Textures - Contributions and Progress * Index