The End of World Population Growth in the 21st Century: New Challenges for Human Capital Formation and Sustainable Development

ISBN-13: 9781844070992 / Angielski / Miękka / 2004 / 341 str.

Sergei Scherbov; Warren C. Sanderson; Wolfgang Lutz

Opis

This volume aims to provide new ways of thinking about population trends in the 21st century. While the 20th century was the century of population growth, with the world's population increasing from 1.6 to 6.1 billion, this book shows that the 21st century is likely to see the end of world population growth and become the century of population ageing. We are at the crossroads of these two different demographic regimes, with some countries still experiencing high population growth while others are already faced with rapid ageing. The book presents a framework for discovering the underlying unity in this demographic diversity.

Spis treści

Introduction * The End of World Population Growth * Applications of Probabilistic Population Forecasting * Future Human Capital: Population Projections by Level of Education * Literate Life Expectancy: Charting the Progress in Human Development * Population-Environment-Development-Agriculture Interactions in Africa: A Case Study on Ethiopia * Interactions between Education and HIV: Demographic Examples from Botswana * China's Future Urban and Rural Population by Level of Education * Population, Greenhouse Gas Emissions, and Climate Change * Conceptualizing Population in Sustainable Development: from 'Population Stabilization' to Population Balance' * Index