Macroeconomic Forecasting: A Sociological Appraisal

ISBN-13: 9780415206945 / Angielski / Twarda / 1999 / 256 str.

Robert Evans

Opis

Drawing on interviews with the UK government's Panel of Independent Forecasters, the author shows how economic models, forecasts and policy analysis depend crucially upon the judgements of economists.

Recenzje

'...the book offers informative insight to any student of the making of macroeconomic policy in the UK...' - Anca Porojan - International Journal of Forecasting 16 (2000) 423-340

Spis treści

1. Who Knows What Tomorrow Brings? Brief Introductions to Economic Forecasting and the Sociology of Scientific Knowledge 2. Cherished Beliefs and Statistics: How Economic Models are Estimated 3. Extrapolations and Expertise: How Economic Forecasts Are Made 4. Soothsaying or Science? Trying to Falsify an Economic Model 5. Different Models: Economic Forecasts in February 1993 6. Different Futures: Controversies and Disputes in July 1993 7. Difficult Choices: Policy Recommendations in October 1993 8. From TINA to TRACY: Economic Models, Economic Policy and Science Studies

O autorze

Robert Evans