Termin realizacji zamówienia: ok. 16-18 dni roboczych.
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This book inquires into the use of prediction at the intersection of politics and academia, and reflects upon the implications of future-oriented policymaking across different fields.
Part I: Introduction 1. Governing and Probing the Future: The Politics and Science of Prevision Andreas Wenger, Ursula Jasper, Myriam Dunn Cavelty Part II: Academic Perspectives on Future-Oriented Policy-Making 2. Imagined Worlds: The Politics of Future-Making in the 21st Century Sheila Jasanoff 3. How to Know the Future – and the Past (and How Not): A Pragmatist Perspective on Foresight and Hindsight Gunther Hellmann 4. Future Thinking and Cognitive Distortions: Key Questions that Guide Forecasting Processes Michael C. Horowitz 5. Thinking Historically: A Guide for Policy Francis J. Gavin 6. From Predicting to Forecasting: Uncertainties, Scenarios and their (Un-)Intended Side Effects Myriam Dunn Cavelty Part III: Empirical Perspectives across Policy Fields 7. Uncertainty and Precariousness at the Policy-Science Interface: Three Cases of Climate-Driven Adaptation Maria Carmen Lemos, Nicole Klenk 8. The Anticipative Medicalization of Life: Governing Future Risk and Uncertainty in (Global) Health Ursula Jasper 9. Crisis, What Crisis? Uncertainty, Risk, and Financial Markets Peter J. Katzenstein, Stephen C. Nelson 10. Imagining Future Biothreats: The Role of Popular Culture Filippa Lentzos, Jean-Baptiste Gouyon, Brian Balmer 11. Forecasting Civil War and Political Violence Corinne Bara 12. Predicting Nuclear Weapons Proliferation Jonas Schneider 13. ‘We Do that Once per Day’: Cyclical Futures and Institutional Ponderousness in Predictive Policing Matthias Leese Part IV: Conclusion 14. The Politics and Science of the Future: Assembling Future Knowledge and Integrating It into Public Policy and Governance Andreas Wenger, Myriam Dunn Cavelty, Ursula Jasper