The Politics and Science of Prevision: Governing and Probing the Future

ISBN-13: 9780367900748 / Angielski / Twarda / 2020 / 260 str.

Andreas Wenger; Ursula Jasper; Myriam Dunn Cavelty

Opis

This book inquires into the use of prediction at the intersection of politics and academia, and reflects upon the implications of future-oriented policymaking across different fields.

Spis treści

Part I: Introduction  1. Governing and Probing the Future: The Politics and Science of Prevision Andreas Wenger, Ursula Jasper, Myriam Dunn Cavelty  Part II: Academic Perspectives on Future-Oriented Policy-Making  2. Imagined Worlds: The Politics of Future-Making in the 21^st Century Sheila Jasanoff  3. How to Know the Future – and the Past (and How Not): A Pragmatist Perspective on Foresight and Hindsight Gunther Hellmann  4. Future Thinking and Cognitive Distortions: Key Questions that Guide Forecasting Processes Michael C. Horowitz  5. Thinking Historically: A Guide for Policy Francis J. Gavin  6. From Predicting to Forecasting: Uncertainties, Scenarios and their (Un-)Intended Side Effects Myriam Dunn Cavelty  Part III: Empirical Perspectives across Policy Fields  7. Uncertainty and Precariousness at the Policy-Science Interface: Three Cases of Climate-Driven Adaptation Maria Carmen Lemos, Nicole Klenk  8. The Anticipative Medicalization of Life: Governing Future Risk and Uncertainty in (Global) Health Ursula Jasper  9. Crisis, What Crisis? Uncertainty, Risk, and Financial Markets Peter J. Katzenstein, Stephen C. Nelson  10. Imagining Future Biothreats: The Role of Popular Culture Filippa Lentzos, Jean-Baptiste Gouyon, Brian Balmer  11. Forecasting Civil War and Political Violence Corinne Bara  12. Predicting Nuclear Weapons Proliferation Jonas Schneider  13. ‘We Do that Once per Day’: Cyclical Futures and Institutional Ponderousness in Predictive Policing Matthias Leese  Part IV: Conclusion  14. The Politics and Science of the Future: Assembling Future Knowledge and Integrating It into Public Policy and Governance  Andreas Wenger, Myriam Dunn Cavelty, Ursula Jasper