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**ISBN-13**: 9780415555098 / Twarda / 2009 / 2480 str.

**ISBN-13**: 9780415555098 / Twarda / 2009 / 2480 str.

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Containing papers presented at the 18th European Safety and Reliability Conference (Esrel 2009) in Prague, Czech Republic, September 2009, **Reliability, Risk and Safety Theory and Applications **will be of interest for academics and professionals working in a wide range of industrial and governmental sectors, including Aeronautics and Aerospace, Automotive Engineering, Civil Engineering, Electrical and Electronic Engineering, Energy Production and Distribution, Environmental Engineering, Information Technology and Telecommunications, Critical Infrastructures, Insurance and Finance, Manufacturing, Marine Industry, Mechanical Engineering, Natural Hazards, Nuclear Engineering, Offshore Oil and Gas, Security and Protection, Transportation, Policy Making."

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VOLUME 1I – Thematic areas Accident and incident investigationIncident cause levels: An integrated approach to the incident investigationM. Ferjencik Learning from accidents (incidents) – Theoretical perspectives on investigation reports as educational toolsG.S. Braut & O. Njå Suggested proactive indicators to be used in oil and gas industry based on a survey of accidents in the industryS.O. Johnsen The innovative tools for prevention of accidents in a post-socialist countryM. Järvis, K. Reinhold & P. Tint Bayesian methods A numerical procedure for handling mixed Bayesian networksP.R. Firmino & E.L. Droguett Contributions to Bayesian Network model design for operational risk in the financial industryL.B. Andersen & D. Häger Data-informed calibration of experts in Bayesian frameworkC.H. Shirazi & A. Mosleh Empirical Bayes testing with random censoringT. Liang & W.T. Huang Uncertainty in reliability estimation: When do you know everything you know?M.J.H.A. Houben, P.J.M. Sonnemans & M.J. Newby Decision support systems and software tools for safety and reliabilityA decision support system to evaluate gas pipeline risk in multiple dimensionsY.G. Lopes, A.T. de Almeida, M.H. Alencar, L.A.F.W. Filho & G.B.A. Siqueira A knowledge-based approach for functional safety managementT. Barnert, K.T. Kosmowski & M. Śliwiński Aggregation of randomized model ensemble outcomes for reconstructing nuclear signals from faulty sensorsP. Baraldi, E. Zio, G. Gola, D. Roverso & M. Hoffmann An assessment of gaps and technical risks in sophisticated technology implementation efforts in complex operations: A case from an integrated production monitoring environmentJ. Raza & J.P. Liyanage Analysis and optimization of repairable networks with merging flowsM.T. Todinov Automating the synthesis of AltaRica Data-Flow models from SysMLP. David, V. Idasiak & F. Kratz Database and simulator supported accident management strategies for the postulated core damage scenariosS.Y. Park, K.R. Kim, K.I. Ahn & Y. Choi Demand optimization model in aeronautical infrastructure to maintain the safety integrity levelJ.K. Naufal Jr. & J.B. Camargo Jr. Simulation model for availability assessment of airspace control systemsW.N. Pizzo & P.S. Cugnasca Supportive software for the multi-criteria decision makingJ. Gurecký, P. Moldřík, J. Dvorský & R. Šebesta TRACE: A generic tool for dependable requirements engineeringH.P.-J. Thunem Dynamic reliabilityAn approach to calculate multi-system failure coincidence probabilitiesU.K. Rakowsky LARES – A novel approach for describing system reconfigurability in dependability models of fault-tolerant systemsM. Walter, A. Gouberman, M. Riedl, J. Schuster & M. Siegle Modelling and simulation of real dynamic systemP. Škňouřilová & J. Gala PAMOS and PAROS: Parallel Addition of Multiple or Redundant Operands in a Single wordK. Echtle, B. Fechner & J. Keller Fault identification and diagnosticsA short study on rebooting safe computers and the impact on safetyE.N. Rosenberg, H. Schäbe & I.B. Shubinsky An application of squared prediction errors of time domain averaging across all scales on gearbox fault detection based on vibration signalsR.J.P. Ferreira, W. Wang, M.J. Zuo & A.T. Almeida Application of a dynamic fault diagnostic method using Bayesian belief networks on a fuel rig systémM. Lampis & J.D. Andrews Estimation of monitoring indicators using regression methods application to turbofan start sequenceA. Ausloos, J.R. Masse, E. Grall-Maës, P. Beauseroy & A. GrallFault detection on textiles by adapted biorthogonal waveletsV. Finěk & D. Černá System health monitoring through Bayesian networksO. Borgia & F. De Carlo Wear prognosis based on identified damage accumulation modelsK.-U. Dettmann & D. Söffker Human factors A Bayesian network model for dependence assessment in human reliability analysisP. Baraldi, M. Conti, M. Librizzi, E. Zio, L. Podofillini & V.N. Dang A data-informed model of performance shaping factors and their interdependencies for use in human reliability analysisK.M. Groth & A. Mosleh A fuzzy Bayesian belief net approach to HRA in onshore oil well operationsP.A.A. Garcia & C.M.C. Jacinto A proposal for aviation maintenance safety monitoring processH.S. Rashid, G.R. Braithwaite & C.S. Place A review of decision tree models for assessing Human Reliability Analysis dependenceL. Podofillini, V.N. Dang, P. Baraldi, M. Conti & E. Zio Accident reporting deficiencies related to human and organizational factors in engine room fires on board shipsJ.-U. Schröder, M. Baldauf & K.T. Ghirxi An overview of experience gained in long term applications of HRA in PSA projects for WWER reactors269J. Holy & J. Kubicek Critical features of emergency procedures: Empirical insights form simulations of nuclear power plant operationS. Massaiu Experiences with human factors in Norwegian petroleum control centre design and suggestions to handle an increasingly complex futureA.L. Aas, S.O. Johnsen & T. Skramstad How to deal with commission and omission errors in HRA P. Le Bot & H. Pesme Human factors in the layer of protection analysis with emphasis on alarm system managementP. Kacprzak & K.T. Kosmowski Human reliability analysis for reducing risk in an LPG treatment and storage plantM. Konstandinidou, Z. Nivolianitou, E. Plot, F. Camus, A. Monferini, Ch. Leva, T. Kontogiannis & P. Kafka Characteristics of the maintenance human errors involved in unplanned reactor tripsJ. Kim, J. Park & W. Jung Investigating situational characteristics in the contextual human information processing model for warning citizensS. Sillem, J.W.F. Wiersma & B.J.M. Ale Modeling nuclear power plant operator knowledge and procedural adherence in the ADS-IDAC simulation modelK. Coyne & A. Mosleh Small steps towards big accidentsO.A. Engen & O.E. Olsen Use of ATHEANA to review emergency operating procedures at nuclear power plantsT. Ruiz-Sánchez & P.F. Nelson Integrated risk management and risk-informed decision-making Adapted principles of risk-informed decision-making for new nuclear power plantsM. Čepin Addressing uncertainties in risk-informed decision-making of changes to NPP Technical SpecificationsS. Martorell, M. Villamizar, J.F. Villanueva, V. Serradell & A.I. Sánchez Asset integrity management paradigm for carbon dioxide underground sequestrationC. Vivalda Comparison of risk criteria in safety-critical industriesJ.-E. Holmberg, M. Knochenhauer, A. Persson & X. He Establishing risk-based maintenance strategies for electricity distribution companiesD.E. Nordgård & K. Samdal Impact of event duration on operational risk in financial institutions: A control based approachD. Häger & L.B. Andersen Incorporating risk analysis and multi-criteria decision making in electricity distribution system asset managementM.D. Catrinu & D.E. Nordgård Integrating risk management into strategic planning in SMEs E. Kupi, J. Keränen, M. Mikkola & T. Uusitalo Multi-reservoir production optimization under uncertaintyA.B. Huseby & N.F. Haavardsson Priorities assignment for actions in a transport system based on a multicriteria decision modelM.H. Alencar, C.A.V. Cavalcante, A.T. de Almeida & C.E.S. Neto Review and discussion of basic concepts and principles in integrated risk managementB. Ale, T. Aven & R. Jongejan Risk assessment methods applied to electricity distribution system asset managementD.E. Nordgård, K. Sand & I. Wangensteen Scientific foundations of risk in complex and dynamic environmentsT.O. Grøtan, F. Størseth & E. Albrechtsen Social vulnerability to natural and technological hazards: The relevance of scaleJ.M. Mendes, A.O. Tavares, S. Freiria & L. Cunha The impact of risk a version on optimal economic decisionsB. Kuijper & M.J. Kallen Theoretical aspects of using diversity for decreasing of nuclear power plant operation riskJ. Holy Maintenance modelling and optimisationA bivariate optimum maintenance policy for a system under revealed and unrevealed failuresF.G. Badía & M.D. Berrade A comparison between different uncertainty propagation methods in multivariate analysisR. Mullor, S. Martorell, A. Sánchez & N. Martinez-Alzamora A maintenance policy for passive components submitted to stress corrosion crackingI.T. Castro, A. Barros & A. Grall A model of imperfect preventive maintenance efficiency based on the concepts of elasticity and effective ageJ. Clavareau & P.-E. Labeau A new maintenance management model expressed in UMLM.A.L. Campos, J.F.G. Fernández, V.G. Díaz & A.C. Márquez A novel approach to model the degradation of components in electrical production plantsP. Baraldi, M. Compare, G. Rossetti, E. Zio & A. Despujols A risk management approach to a maintenance decision for an ageing systemT.E. Nøkland, R. Flage & T. Aven A two-phase inspection policy for a single component preparedness system with a mixed time to failure distributionC. Cavalcante, P. Scarf, A. de Almeida & A.T.C. de Silva Assessment of economical lifetime of heavy-duty machines. Case studyA. Jodejko-Pietruczuk, M. Młyńczak & M. Zając Condition-based maintenance of engineering systems with periodic inspectionJ.A.M. van der Weide & M.D. Pandey Dynamic maintenance optimization method for commercial heavy vehiclesK. Bouvard, S. Artus, C. Bérenguer & V. Cocquempot Employing Key Performance Indicators (KPIs) for improving processes within maintenance0. Meland Imperfect condition-based maintenance on a finite time span for a gradually deteriorating systemA. Ponchet, M. Fouladirad & A. Grall Increasing availability through maintainability growth using partial Multi Criteria Decision Making (pMCDM)J. Sobral & L.A. Ferreira Integrating reliability centered maintenance and spare parts stock controlW. van Jaarsveld & R. Dekker Interest of a global optimization tool for reliability models adjustment and systems optimizationA. Cabarbaye, J. Faure, R. Laulheret & A. Cabarbaye Maintenance management and optimization of FPSOsE. Okstad, J. Vatn & R. Bye Modelling condition monitoring and dynamic grouping of maintenance actions with extended coloured stochastic petri netsS. Nebel, A. Dieter & B. Bertsche Models of availability maximization applied to “k-out-of-n” structures for power systems1. Felea, S. Dziţac, F. Popenţiu & I. Dziţac On line condition-based maintenance for time dependent deteriorating systemsM. Fouladirad & A. Grall Semi-Markov decision processes for determining multiobjective optimal condition-based replacement policiesM.C. Moura, I.D. Lins, P.R. Firmino, E.L. Droguett & C.M. Jacinto Superposition of renewal processes for modelling imperfect maintenanceM.J. Kallen, R.P. Nicolai & S.S. Farahani The effective iterative algorithm to solve a maintenance optimization problem of a highly reliable systemR. Briš Uncertainty factors in deterioration modelling of process equipment T. Monsås & J. Vatn Monte Carlo methods in system safety and reliabilityA framework for the Monte Carlo simulation of degradation and failure processes in the assessment of maintenance programs performanceV. Zille, A. Despujols, P. Baraldi, G. Rossetti & E. Zio Advanced discrete simulation methods applied to repairable multistate systemsA.B. Huseby & B. Natvig Comparative cost and utility analysis of monolith and fractionated spacecraft using failure and replacement Markov modelsG.F. Dubos & J.H. Saleh Component importance measures to identify contributions to system failure for aircraft which dispatch with known faultsD.R. Prescott & J.D. Andrews Some optimal life testing for exponential distributionW.-T. Huang, H.-H. Huang & K.-C. Yang Subset Simulation and Line Sampling for advanced Monte Carlo reliability analysisE. Zio & N. Pedroni Occupational safetyApplying the Safe Place, Safe Person, Safe Systems framework: Case study findings across multiple industry sectorsA.-M. Makin & C. Winder Matching RATE analysis for SMEs with European Agencies dataC. Pantanali & C. Bianco Occupational risk management for contact with moving parts of machinesI.A. Papazoglou, O.N. Aneziris, M. Konstandinidou, M. Mud, M. Damen, J. Kuiper, H. Baksteen, L.J. Bellamy, J.G. Post & J. Oh Occupational risk management for electricity hazardO.N. Aneziris, I.A. Papazoglou, M. Konstandinidou, M. Damen, J. Kuiper, L.J. Bellamy, M. Mud, H. Baksteen & J. Oh Radars and health risk assessmentF. Bozek, J. Navratil, A. Bumbova, J. Kellner, A. Langerova & L. Kubicek The effect of organizational size and structure on the management of OHS risk: A review of two case studies in the chemical manufacturing industryA.-M. Makin & C. Winder The impact of the occupational safety control programs on the overall safety level in an industrial clusterP.A. Bragatto, P. Agnello, M.G. Gnoni, G. Lettera & F.A. Sciancalepore Organizational learning A Survey of Organization Studies Relevant to Safety and DependabilityA.P.-J. Thunem Assessment of HSE aspects by employees’ participation in organizational development processes: “What you ask is what you get”M. Hermundsgård & L. Hansson Cultural differences in design perceptions of consumer products: A Kansei engineering approachK. Pearce, J. Harvey & R. Jamieson Decision processes and improved HSE. Training as a contribution to organizational learning and developmentT.M. Stene, M. Hermundsgård & B.-E. Madsen Improving assignment and qualification of safety manager at construction sitesK.S. Son, W. Mo Gal & J. Nam Choi Professional culture, work practice and reliable operations in shippingG.M. Lamvik, A.M. Wahl & M. Pettersen Buvik Risks and engineering design across culturesJ. Harvey, K.F. Pearce & R. Jamieson VOLUME 2 Reliability and safety data collection and analysis Accelerated test used as a tool for manufacturing correctness checkD. Valis, Z. Vintr & M. Koucky An extended Bayesian updating approach to support product selection based on performance testing – A drilling jar caseJ.T. Selvik & T. Aven Analysing multiple damage causes of complex products using DCD algorithm and WCF approachS. Bracke & S. Haller Analysis of accelerated life testing under competing failure modes with initial failuresY. Tan, C. Zhang, X. Chen &Y. Wang Contributions to the modelling of previsional reliability of hydroelectric plantsI. Felea & D. Meianu Crash pulse analysis using waveletsD. Černá & V. Finěk Data farming quality, improving the WSN safetyJ.C.A. Cansado, J.R. Almeida Jr., S. Viana & J. Pavon Data mining for identification and prediction of safety and reliability characteristics of complex industrial systems and processesK. Kolowrocki & J. Soszynska χ2 test of goodness of fit for normal and lognormal distribution with applicationsN. Popoviciu & F. Baicu Homogeneity and scale testing for small samples with censored and missing dataM. Stehlík Identification of significant effects of altering the testing process with regard to reliability growth managementD. Vesenmaier & P. Jäger Importance of regarding the field failure behaviour of automotive componentsA. Braasch, D. Althaus, J.-J. Baek & A. Meyna Satellite and satellite subsystems reliability: Statistical data analysis and modelingJ.-F. Castet & J.H. Saleh The superposition principle to develop the concept of accelerated degradation testingS.H. Mohammadian, D. Aït-Kadi & F. Routhier Used cars data processing and TÜV reliability statistics modificationJ. Zajicek Risk and evidence based policy makingEvaluation of acute toxicity limits for purposes of risk analysis in the Czech RepublicB. Baudisova, P. Danihelka & D. Micek Issues related to localization of an LNG facilityJ. Vatn Landfills and risk identificationA. Bumbova & F. Bozek Risk and hazard analysisA comparative study on the application of simulation techniques for shipboard fire safety analysisB. Dutta & A. Kar A new fire compartment system in tunnel – The case of the Gran Sasso National LaboratoryA. Basti, D. Franciotti, G. Bucciarelli & G. Panella A risk-based cost-benefit analysis of LPG tank vehicles passive fire protectionN. Paltrinieri, S. Bonvicini, V. Cozzani & G. Landucci An integrated approach for risk management based on systems availabilityV.C. Damaso, R.M. Okamoto & P.A.M. Cabral Assessment of major accidents triggered by lightningE. Renni, G. Antonioni, V. Cozzani, E. Krausmann & A.M. Cruz Comparison of different models for risk analysis to estimate the manpower in the case of roughly defined project’s tasksS.M. Eberhardt & M.M. Behr Comparison of two cost-benefit type of analyses to support a safety related decision under large uncertainties: A case of use of wireless technology in schoolsR. Steen & T. Aven Differential importance measure of Markov models using perturbation analysisP. Do Van, A. Barros & C. Bérenguer Evacuation analysis: Comparison between NFPA 130 and a micro-simulation modelA. Raffetti, B. Faragona, F. Vaccaro & L. Pedemonte Evaluation of safety measures in road tunnels based on cost-effectiveness analysisW. Røed, E.B. Abrahamsen, A.K. Midtgaard, K. Haver & H.S. Wiencke FMECA of a turntable:A fuzzy assessmentF. Costantino, M. De Minicis, G. Di Gravio & M. Tronci Formal vulnerability assessment: A methodology for assessing and mitigating strategic vulnerabilities in maritime supply chainsØ. Berle & B.E. Asbjørnslett Improving safety in delayed coking units using HAZOP and LOPA methodologiesG.P. Monteiro, F.C.C. Barros, E.R. Marins & M.T. Halasz Key performance indicators for the inherent safety assessment of hydrogen production and distribution systemG. Landucci, A. Tugnoli &V. Cozzani Measures for reducing the probability of ruptures of high pressure natural gas pipelinesG.M.H. Laheij & A.A.C. van Vliet Modelling of energy supply disturbances in network systemsJ. Augutis, R. Krikštolaitis, K. Šidlauskas, L. Martišauskas & V. Matuziene˙ Multicriteria risk analysis application in a distribution gas pipeline system in SergipeT.V. Garcez, A.T. de Almeida-Filho, A.T. de Almeida & M.H. Alencar Multiple dimension risk evaluation frameworkA.T. de Almeida-Filho & A.T. de Almeida Network maintenance contribution in quality terms on distribution network services providersJ.F.G. Fernández, M.L. Campos, V.G. Díaz & A.C. Márquez On the limitations of the maximum expected utility principle as a basis for rational risk decisionsM.T. Todinov Parameterization of consequences of explosionsT. Aschmoneit, C. Richter, G. Gürke, B. Brombacher, J. Ziehm & I. Häring Possibilities to evaluate technical measures in a Quantitative Risk Assessment method for land use planningP.A.M. Uijt de Haag, S. Mahesh, E.S. Kooi, L. Gooijer & M.A.M. Heijne Probit functions: Derivation, evaluation and useinrisk analysisR.J. Hansler, P.M.J. Bos, P.A.M. Uijt de Haag, J.H.E. Arts, P.J.M.G. Frijns, W.H. Könemann, H. Muijser & M. Ruijten Quantitative risk analysis for underground oil transmission pipelinesA.A.C. van Vliet, G.M.H. Laheij & R.J. Hansler Resilient organizations and resilient praxis – A review of current status related to safetyS.O. Johnsen Responsibility modelling for risk analysisR. Lock, T. Storer, I. Sommerville & G. Baxter Rethinking sociological perspectives on risk for the possibility to analyse and manage security risksK. Pettersen, O.A. Engen & T. Aven Risk analysis procedures for explosives manufacturingA.N. Haddad & E.B.F. Galante Risk assessments for high integrity pressure protection system by using layer of protection analysisK.P. Chang, K.I. Nam, S.H. Jung & D.H. Lee Risk based design of coastal flood defences - A Vietnam caseC.M. Van, P.H.A.J.M. van Gelder & J.K. Vrijling Risk influence modeling of recent developments in helicopter safety on the Norwegian continental shelfT. Kråkenes, S. Håbrekke & I.A. Herrera Risk informed oversight in air transport using CATSB.J.M. Ale, L.J. Bellamy, J. Cooper, D. Ababei, D. Kurowicka, O. Morales & J. Spouge Risk management – Selection of adequate toolsP. Fuchs Safety risk requirements for combat pistol and its ammunitionR. Jankovych & J. Majtanik Self-rescue and safety measures in quantitative risk analysis, modelling and case studies foraccidental toxic releasesI.J.M. Trijssenaar-Buhre & R.P. Sterkenburg The branching model of successive eventsG. Dohnal The development of a method and a tool for dynamic task representation as part of a virtual reality applicationM.C. Leva, F. Mattei, A. Kay, S. Cromie, M. De Ambroggi & T. Kontogiannis The impact of climate change on the need for a probabilistic assessment of harsh weather conditions in GermanyG. Thuma, E. Hartwig-Thurat & M. Krauß The potential of risk assessment based on statistical approachA. Giorgetti & M. Delogu Vulnerability of mid-high rise commercial-residential buildings in the Florida Public Hurricane Loss ModelG.L. Pita, J.-P. Pinelli, K. Gurley, J. Weekes, C.S. Subramanian & S. Hamid Risk control in complex environmentsBuilding safety by resilient organization – A case specific approachF. Størseth, R.K. Tinmannsvik & K. Øien Lifecycle physical hazards of polymer foam boardT. Nakarai, A. Miyake, Y. Oka, A. Kimura, S. Managaki, Y. Yokoyama, H. Hondo, S. Masunaga & T. Kobayashi On the use of expert judgment elicitation for autonomous underwater vehicle risk prediction and managementM.P. Brito & G. Griffiths Risks of polyaromatic hydrocarbons in military training areasJ. Kellner, J. Navratil, F. Bozek, A. Bumbova & J. Dvorak Risk perception and communicationDriver boredom and preferred driving speedS. Heslop, J. Harvey, N. Thorpe & C. Mulley Risk perception, extreme events and institutional trust: A local survey in PortugalA.O. Tavares, J.M. Mendes, E. Basto & L. Cunha The prevention of the professional poisoning caused by lead – Case studyL. Sikorova, P. Danihelka & D. Micek What you should remember when reading psychometric studies of risk perceptionC. Kermisch & P.-E. Labeau Safety cultureEvidence-based development of safety culture at the estonian enterprisesM. Järvis & P. Tint The industrial relations of safety – Differences in tripartite collaboration in Norwegian industriesL. Øyum, K. Skarholt, J.E. Ravn & T. Nilssen Trust and safety culture: The importance of trust relations in Integrated Operations (IO) in the Norwegian oil industryK. Skarholt & H. Torvatn Safety management systemsA multi-objective approach for risk-management to implement an integrated management system: Quality, security, environmentA. Badreddine, T.B. Romdhane & N.B. Amor A study of railway ERTMS safety with Colored Petri NetsP. Barger, W. Schön & M. Bouali Exploring safety critical decision-makingF. Størseth, R. Rosness & G. Guttormsen Software reliabilityContribution to highly reliable items’ reliability assessmentD. Valis, Z. Vintr & M. Koucky Failure analysis of software for displaying safety-relevant informationB. Hulin & T. Schulze Identifying the most important component dependencies in compound software: An experimental studyM. Kristiansen, R. Winther & J.E. Simensen On the influence of software vulnerabilities on software reliability: The case of open source component based softwareG. Albeanu, H. Madsen & A. Averian Principles of the AOP 52 draft on software safety for the ammunition domainM. Larisch, U. Siebold & I. Häring Software critical for safety in reliability modelsJ. Sedlák The use of metrics to assess software component dependenciesM. Kristiansen, R. Winther, M. van der Meulen & M.A. Revilla Structural reliability and design codesA RSM method for probabilistic nonlinear analysis of reinforced concrete bubbler tower structure integrityJ. Králik Artificial neural network in probabilistic assessment of strength of thin imperfect platesZ. Sadovský & C. Guedes Soares Assessment of deteriorating reinforced concrete road bridgesM. Holicky, J. Markova & M. Sykora Control system design with dependability criterion using structural analysisB. Conrard, V. Cocquempot & M. Bayart Deterministic and probabilistic analysis of nonsymmetrical wind effects to symmetrical high rise buildingsJ. Králik & J. Králik, jr. Eurocode road traffic load models for weight restricted bridgesD. Proske & S. Loos Fluid bearing reliability evaluation using a numerical design of experimentsA. Charki, R. Laronde, D. Bigaud & F. Guérin Investigation of parameter influences in wind induced structural reaction analysis due to structural model dimensions changesE. Bombasaro Models of thermal actions for bridgesJ. Marková Probabilistic approaches in the safety analysis of road piers of annular cross-sectionA. Kudzys & R. Kliukas Probabilistic assessment of crack width for existing bridgesJ. Marková & M. Holický Probabilistic safety redesign of existing structuresP. Bulota & A. Kudzys Probabilistic solution and reliability assessment of the hard rock disintegration processK. Frydrýšek & P. Marek Structural safety analysis from design to manufactureC. Elegbede Updating the safety level of concrete elements after conformity controlR. Caspeele & L. Taerwe Using the Direct Determined Fully Probabilistic Method (DDFPM) for determination of failureA.P. Janas, M. Krejsa & V. Krejsa VOLUME 3 System reliability analysisA comparison of safety analysis techniques: Analytical calculations versus Monte Carlo simulationsJ.R. Müller, T. Ständer & E. Schnieder A faster numerical procedure for solving non-homogeneous semi-Markov processesM.C. Moura & E.L. Droguett A k-out-of-n system with components following Weibull distributions: An algorithmic approachM.C. Olvera-Porcel, R. Pérez-Ocón & M.C. Segovia A location-specific CCF model for supporting the system design processA. Zitrou & T. Bedford An extensible software platform for reliability and risk modeling and analysisD. Zhu & M. Dehghani A practical approach for determination of reliability-oriented system topology in mechatronic systemsM. Junglas, A. Kazeminia, R. Eick & D. Söffker A practical Markovian model of the availability and reliability of a mass transport service with non-exponential repair timesA. Colini, P. Erto, M. Giorgio & A. Testa A proposed methodology for decision support on ageing systemsS.L. Isaksen A solvable common-cause failure model for coherent systemsC. Tanguy Comparison of the failure behaviour of the same function in different systemsD. Althaus, A. Braasch, M. Schlummer & A. Meyna Design of complex safety-related systemsin accordance with IEC 61508F. Brissaud, D. Charpentier, A. Barros & C. Bérenguer Determining reliability parameters for a tree-structured commodity transfer system with non-independent componentsJ. Malinowski Discrete simulation of reliability and availability systemsA. Chovanec & Z. Zwiasova Identification of betweenness-central groups of components in a complex network infrastructure by genetic algorithmsE. Zio & L.R. Golea Importance analysis of multi-state system by tools of differential logical calculusE. Zaitseva Is the “kout of n” system really the best?J. Kamenicky Markov reward model for performance deficiency calculation of refrigeration systemI. Frenkel, L. Khvatskin & A. Lisnianski Mechatronic system reliability evaluation using petri networks and PHI2 methodA. Charki, A. Demri, F. Guérin & D. Bigaud Mission completion probability of cycle rate systemJ. Famfulík, J. Míková & R. Krzyžanek Multiobjective optimization of fault-tolerant aircraft systems considering system degradationC. Raksch & F. Thielecke On the impact of deferred repair on the expected number of system failures – A stochastic modelM. Bretschneider Optimization of system component reliability characteristics at early design stage with economically reasonable uncertainty levelA. Kazeminia, M. Junglas & Dirk Söffker Reliability analysis of multi-state ageing series-consecutive “m out of k: F” systemsS. Guze Reliability analysis of the electronic protection systems with mixed-three branches reliability structureA. Rosiński Reliability and risk analysis of a ground ship-rope transporter in variable operation conditionsA. Blokus-Roszkowska & K. Kołowrocki Reliability assessment of network-based safety-related systemsY. Langeron, A. Barros, A. Grall & C. Bérenguer Reliability quantification of equipment without operational experienceH. Kortner, S.L. Isaksen & H. Brandt Reliability, risk and availability evaluation of port oil pipeline transportation systémJ. Soszynska Research on fuel cells reliability in order to use in accumulation systems of electric energyR. Šebesta, Z. Hradílek & P. Moldřík Safety and reliability optimization of complex industrial systems and processesK. Kolowrocki & J. Soszynska Safety system reliability calculation – When are advanced formulas and calculation techniques necessary?L.F. Oliveira & S. EisingerStrategies for handling common cause failures in complex safety instrumented systems – An example to illustrate different methodsT. Lilleheier SysML modelling of safety critical multi-technological systemsU. Siebold, M. Larisch & I. Häring The Bayesian reliability growth models based on a new dirichlet prior distributionJ. Tao, Z. Ming & X. Chen Updating failure rates and test intervals in the operational phase: A practical implementation of IEC 61511 and IEC 61508S. Hauge, M.A. Lundteigen & M. Rausand Uncertainty and sensitivity analysisA Dempster-Shafer theory of evidence approach to model uncertainty analysisP. Baraldi & E. Zio An Effective Algorithm for variance-based Sensitivity Indices (EASI)E. Plischke Composite indicators for security of energy supply in europe using ordered weighted averagingC.M. Rocco S., S. Tarantola, A.C. Badea & R. Bolado Estimating uncertainties in maximum entropy distribution parameters from small-sample observationsT. Most Exploring uncertainty in quantitative risk assessment used for decision support in electricity distribution system asset managementD.E. Nordgård Handling epistemic uncertainties in fault tree analysis by probabilistic and possibilistic approachesR. Flage, P. Baraldi, F. Ameruso, E. Zio & T. Aven Lessons learnt from studies on sensitivity analysis techniques in the EU project PAMINA: A benchmark studyK.-J. Röhlig, E. Plischke, R. Bolado Lavín, D.-A. Becker, P.-A. Ekström & S. Hotzel Lessons learnt from studies on sensitivity analysis techniques in the EU project PAMINA: Sensitivity analysis applied to different HLW PA modelsR. Bolado, A. Badea, D.A. Becker, S. Spießl, K. Fischer-Appelt, J.L. Cormenzana, M.A. Cuñado, T.J. Schröder, J. Hart, J. Grupa, E. Rosca-Bocancea, R. Ávila, G. Pepin, F. Plas, K.-J. Röhlig & E.Plischke Reliable design verification of nuclear turbosets using sensitivity analysis on exceedance probabilitiesI. Zentner, S. Tarantola & E. de Rocquigny Some useful features of the Bayesian setting while dealing with uncertainties in industrial practiceA. Pasanisi, E. de Rocquigny, N. Bousquet & E. Parent Uncertainty assessments in a semi-quantitative risk analysis, with application to health careK. Eidesen & T. Aven II – Industrial and service sectors Aeronautics and aerospace Cognitive model of team cooperation in en-route air traffic controlK. Furuta,Y. Soraji, T. Kanno, H. Aoyama, S. Inoue, D. Karikawa & M. Takahashi Methods applied to identify causes of air eventsJ. Żurek, Z. Smalko & M. Zieja Team cognitive process analysis of air traffic controllers as distributed cognitionS. Inoue, H. Aoyama, Y. Soraji, T. Kanno, K. Furuta & K. Nakata Biotechnology and food industryAggregation of alarms to guarantee quality of pasteurized honeyE. Doménech, I. Escriche & S. Martorell Combining predictive modelling and event tree analysis technique for a better food safety managementE. Doménech, I. Escriche & S. Martorell How institutional contexts affect conditions for risk expertiseH. Merkelsen Critical infrastructures“System of systems” approach for interdependent critical infrastructuresI. Eusgeld & S. Dietz A multiple-objective approach for the vulnerability assessment of infrastructure networksM. Claudio, S. Rocco, J.E. Ramirez-Marquez, E. Daniel & A. Salazar A structured approach to modeling interdependencies in risk analysis of critical infrastructuresI.B. Utne, P. Hokstad & J. Vatn Critical infrastructure safety managementD. Prochazkova Indicators of component criticality for failure cascade process in network systemsE. Zio & G. Sansavini Modelling interdependencies amongst technical systemsJ.R. Santos-Reyes Risk analysis of underground infrastructures in urban areas: Time-dependent interoperability analysisE. Cagno, M. De Ambroggi, O. Grande & P. Trucco Security analysis of network access control implementationsF. Cetin, T. Dagonnier & P. Oechslin Electrical and electronic engineeringMulti-objective genetic algorithm optimization of electrical power transmission networksF. Cadini, E. Zio & C.A. Petrescu Reliability of electronic devices: Failure mechanisms and testingJ. Šikula, V. Sedláková, M. Tacano & T. Zedníček Energy production and distributionIncreasing the reliability of outdoor MV network by means of remote-controlled elementsJ. Gurecký & P. Moldřík Practical application of MCA8 software for improving reliability of energy supplyR. Šebesta, P. Moldřík & J. Gurecký Reliability analysis of electric distribution grid by Monte Carlo methodA.T. Sikora, S. Rusek, V. Král & R. Goňo Health and medicineA hybrid technique to model dynamic aspects of risk in healthcare settingsR. Kazemi, M. Dierks & A. Mosleh Design of an incident report analysis system for healthcareY. Asada, K. Furuta & T. Kanno Modified logistic regression as a tool for discriminationM. Rabasová, R. Briš & P. Kuráňová Information technology and telecommunicationsApplication of linear logic to backward reachability analysis of Colored Petri NetsM. Bouali, J. Rocheteau & P. Barger Guttman scaling in the FMEA of IT security objectives in enterprisesR. Mock, E. Kollmann, C. Ballhaus & H. Straumann Modeling resource availability and optimal fee for priority classes in a websiteV.P. Koutras & A.N. Platis Reliability analysis of next generation mobile networksM. Guida, M. Longo & F. Postiglione Rollback and roll-forward of architecturally fixed and non-fixed statesB. Fechner Safety analysis of the on-board front-end transceiver of the Balise Transmission ModuleJ. del Portillo, I. Adin, A. Villaro, U. Alvarado & J. Mendizabal UML-based Fault Injection for Software Model Testing (FISMT)J. Mendizabal-Samper, A. Salterain, S. Urcelayeta, J.M. Blanco & A. Galarza Using virtualisation and simulation – The way to ensuring more reliable and effective teaching and testing process IT technologyI.J. Jozwiak & A. Szleszynski ManufacturingRAMS modeling for maintenance auditsD. Galar, L. Berges & J. RoyoThe quality of graphical data display J. Nedbalek Tools for monitoring and evaluating of warranty costs developmentZ. Vintr & M. Vintr Warranty cost models state-of-art: A practical review to the framework of warranty cost managementV.G. Díaz, M.L. Campos, J.F.G. Fernández & A.C. Márquez Marine industryRisk assessment in process of LNG terminal designM. Gucma Quantitative analysis of maritime security assessment in ISPSZ.L.Yang & J. Wang Natural hazardsEC Conformity of an Avalanche Release SystemB. Lanternier & J-M. Neuville Learning from natural disasters: The case of Tabasco’s floodingJ.R. Santos-Reyes & R. Alvarado-Corona The potential use of individual and societal risk criteria within the Dutch flood safety policy (part 1): Basic principlesR.B. Jongejan, S.N. Jonkman & B. Maaskant The use of individual and societal risk criteria within the Dutch flood safety policy (part 2): Estimation of the individual and societal risk for the dike rings in the NetherlandsB. Maaskant, S.N. Jonkman & R.B. Jongejan Nuclear engineeringA comparative study of two quantification algorithms to find cable importance in a fire PRA modelK.Y. Kim, S.H. Han & D.I. Kang Augmenting the traditional defense-in-depth strategy with the concept of a diagnosable safety architectureE. Bakolas & J.H. Saleh Fire PSA for a German BWR – Enhanced results and potential plant specific improvementsH.P. Berg, W. Frey, M. Röwekamp & M. Türschmann Model uncertainties in a PSA for a nuclear power plantM. Kloos & J. Peschke Monte Carlo simulation for the estimation of external explosion event probabilityJ. Hauschild & M. Andernacht Multiobjective optimization of test policies for GRP-modeled aging systemsV.C. Damaso, P.A.A. Garcia, M.C. Sant’Ana & P.F.F. e Melo Nuclear power plant maintenance optimizationA. Volkanovski, M. Cepin & B. Mavko Reliability aspects of a stochastic non-stationary processL. Burgazzi Offshore oil and gasAnalysis of risk indicators for major accidents on offshore installationsJ.E. Vinnem Assessment of reliability and residual lifetime of flexible risers subjected to time-varying corrosive environmentsB.J. Leira Defined situations of hazard and accident related to integrated operations on the Norwegian continental shelfC.K. Tveiten, E. Albrechtsen & A.B. Skjerve Disintegration and revival of tripartite collaboration on HSE in the Norwegian petroleum industryA. Moen, H.C. Blakstad, U. Forseth & R. Rosness Fire loads for realistic risk assessment applications in petrochemical industryP. Praks, S. Medonos & R. Raman How shared situational awareness influence organizational accident risk in the offshore oil industryT.O. Grøtan, K. Skarholt & E. Albrechtsen Job satisfaction and extensive participation processes in organizational development – A case study from the Norwegian petroleum industryT. Korsvold, L. Hansson & A.D. Lauvsnes Life extension of machinery in the oil and gas industryP. Vaidya & M. Rausand Power system regularity challenges connected to electrification of large scale offshore installations form land A.B. Svendsen, T. Digernes, Y. Aabø, J. Eman & C. Hernande Risk influence factors related to evacuation from offshore installationsJ.E. Skogdalen & J.E. Vinnem Risk regulation in the Norwegian petroleum industry: Robustness and changing methods of operationP.H. Lindøe & G.S. Braut Security and protectionPool homogenisation for empirical Bayes modelsG. Hardman, T. Bedford, J. Quigley & L. Walls Terrorism risk as a change stimulus to the Norwegian societyS.H. Jore & O. Njå Surface transportation (road and train)Application of safety principles for a guidance system in public transportH. Schäbe, H. Vis & R. Bouwman Design of a testing bench for simulating tightened-up operating conditions of train’s passenger accessF. Turgis, R. Copin, P. Loslever, L. Cauffriez & N. Caouder Evaluation of pressure load on platform screen doors in a metro systemA. Raffetti, B. Faragona, L. Caddeo & A. Chiappini Exposure zones assessment of dangerous object transportT. Saska & J. Novák Logistic system modeling using fault trees with time dependencies – Example of tram networkJ. Magott, T. Nowakowski, P. Skrobanek & S. Werbinska Quantitative risk assessment for railway tunnels: An integrated method and tool to support the fulfillment of the most recent normative requirementsG.F. D’Addio, A. Raffetti, L. Ginevri & S. Corona RAM performance monitoring and MTBF demonstration on the SBB SA-NBS projectB.B. Stamenkovič, X. Villers & P. Dersin Reliability analysis of an ERTMS on-board balise transmission equipmentJ.F. Sevillano, J. Mendizabal, I. Sancho, J.R. Martín & J. Meléndez Reliability and safety of railway signalling and interlocking devicesT. Krenželok, R. Briš, P. Klátil & V. Stýskala Simulation approaches to evaluate dependability of satellite-based positioning services in railway transportation applicationsJ. Beugin, J. Marais & A. Filip Waterborne transportationFire safety assessment of hazardous material transporting ship using fire simulationB. Park, J. Choi, H. Kang & D. Lee Risk estimation of the sea-going ship casualty as the consequence of propulsion lossA. Brandowski, W. Frackowiak, H. Nguyen & A. Podsiadlo The concept of navigational safety management on coastal areasL. Gucma The use of safety management systems within the Norwegian tanker industry – Do they really improve safety?H.A. Oltedal

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